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We will also show early warning data if a company has a Notice of Intention to Appoint and Administrator (NOIAA) filed with the courts, or Winding Up Petition Application (WUPA) brought against them.
We will also show if their ultimate UK parent company is in the warning area (has a health score below 25).
In the thousands of companies analysed by Company Watch to help create Risk Radar’s health score, a commonality of those who went into distress is late filing with Companies House.
The “Probability of Distress” (PoD) refers to the likelihood that a company will experience financial distress or fail to meet its financial obligations within a year. It indicates the statistical chance of a company facing failure or significant financial restructuring within the next year. This metric assesses the level of risk associated with the company’s financial health and stability and is calculated by integrating the company’s health score with the current economic conditions.
How much actual money a company has, i.e. cash in your wallet or in the bank that it can use right away. This money is easy for the company to use for things it needs to do quickly, e.g. paying bills, investing, or covering everyday costs.
• The purple line shows the fluctuation in financial health score over time. Risk scores are recalculated weekly on any data point change. • The financial health score is determined using an algorithm built in partnership with Company Watch. This models predictability based on Gini scores; it also identifies trends within the industry as a whole and in specific sectors to be compared like for like. Where trends are identified, other companies become an indicator which will affect all companies in the sector/industry. The model is constantly learning, evolving and being recalculated. • The blue line shows the Probability of Distress, this is a way to estimate the chance that a company might run into financial difficulties or even be unable to meet its financial obligations . It’s a measure used to assess the potential risk of the company facing money-related challenges.